The question on everyone’s mind, is Trump really going to win again?

Emma Nevin

Department of Defense senior leaders attend the 9/11 Observance Ceremony at the Pentagon in Washington, D.C., Sept. 11, 2017. During the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, 184 people were killed at the Pentagon. (DOD photo by Navy Petty Officer 1st Class Dominique A. Pineiro)

It is fair to say from a foreigners perspective that the Trump presidency has been a diplomatic disaster, as predicted by many pundits on this side of the Atlantic. Between countless examples of impropriety, a pointless and harmful trade war with China and constant brainless tweeting, respect levels for the American President have fallen in Europe.

It is difficult for us to understand how Americans could want to re-elect the possibly most divisive President in modern history. They surely won’t make the same mistake twice? Wrong.

As things currently stand (important to note that they are fragile at best) Trump is in a perfect position to shock the globe again on November 3rd and become a two term president. After being acquitted on all charges by a Republican led Senate, his approval rating is at its highest ever point, 49%. This would guarantee him another four years.

He has a strong economy to boast about and the Republican party are loyally standing behind him in an almost perfectly unified line (shout out to Mitt Romney for going through his teenage rebel phase in his seventies). But most importantly, Trump has the pleasure of watching Democrats kill each other in a dog fight to become the nominee.

It is only February and there is still plenty of time for the Democrats to sort themselves out and fall in line behind a nominee. The only problem is, in the aftermath of what is the most divisive Democratic primary to date, it will most definitely be harder than before to get all Democratic politicians and voters alike to smile and support their chosen Trump opponent.

To say what everyone knows to be true, Bernie, who is the only candidate that beats Trump in any poll, was “screwed” by the Democratic National Convention in 2016 and may be “screwed” again. The establishment hate him, as Hillary Clinton claimed “Nobody likes him”. But defying all the odds and fighting constant battles against their exclusive clique, a blackout by the media and extremely shady business in Iowa to say the least, Bernie is still the front runner to become the 2020 Democratic party nominee.

The only possible way I don’t see Trump in the White House till 2024, is to combat his fake populism with genuine populism. He has admitted Bernie is the only person he fears, and he is right to be scared of him. If it is a Sanders-Trump debate stage, there is a real fight for the Presidency. If not, say hello to another four years of President Donald J. Trump.

Emma Nevin

Image: Flickr